Employment Cost Index, Q3 2025
Employment Cost Index for Q3 2025 is scheduled for release at 08:30 EST on 10 December 2025.
Impact
Low -0.35 bp from the 10-year level
On this indicator’s past release days the U.S. Treasury curve moved -0.35 basis points more than it did on a quiet day — a day on which none of the tracked indicators released — measured from the 10-year level. This is a backward-looking measure of what already happened. It is not a forecast of the next release, and it is not advice. Read the full methodology.
This tier comes from the full history (2002 onwards), not the trailing five years. There have not been enough single-release days in the last five years for this indicator to clear our minimum sample, so rather than publish a tier from a handful of days we fall back to the long record — and say so.
Consensus
No consensus shown — we don’t license survey estimates. The “expected” figure on a commercial calendar is a survey of economists, compiled and sold by a data vendor. It is not a government work and there is no public-domain source for it. We would rather say so than print a blank column.
Source and attribution
- Publisher
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Release page
- https://www.bls.gov/news.release/eci.nr0.htm
- Schedule source
- https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/eci.htm
- Licence
- Public domain — a work of the U.S. federal government (17 U.S.C. §105).
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