Economic indicators
Everything the calendar tracks, grouped by the agency that publishes it. The catalog is an allow-list: a release cannot appear on the calendar until its agency, its schedule source and its licence are written down. Every indicator below is a work of the U.S. federal government and therefore public domain.
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
https://www.bls.gov · Public domain (a work of the U.S. federal government)
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Consumer Price Index
The average change over time in the prices urban consumers pay for a basket of goods and services. It is the most widely quoted measure of U.S. inflation, and the reference rate for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.
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Employment Situation
The monthly jobs report. Two separate surveys: the establishment survey gives nonfarm payroll employment (the headline jobs number), and the household survey gives the unemployment rate.
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Producer Price Index
The average change over time in the selling prices domestic producers receive for their output — inflation measured at the producer rather than the consumer end of the chain.
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Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
Job openings, hires, quits and layoffs. The quits rate is watched as a measure of workers' confidence in finding another job.
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Employment Cost Index
The change in the cost of labour — wages, salaries and benefits — free of the effect of employment shifting between occupations and industries. The Federal Reserve treats it as a cleaner read on labour costs than average hourly earnings.
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U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes
The change in the prices of goods and services bought from and sold to the rest of the world — an early read on inflation arriving through trade.
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Productivity and Costs
Output per hour worked, and the unit labour costs of producing it. Productivity growth is what allows wages to rise without adding to inflation.
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Real Earnings
Average hourly and weekly earnings adjusted for consumer price inflation — whether pay is rising faster than the cost of living.
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
https://www.bea.gov · Public domain (a work of the U.S. federal government)
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Gross Domestic Product
The total value of goods and services produced in the United States. Each quarter is published three times — an advance estimate, then a second and third estimate as more source data arrives — so the same quarter appears on the calendar three times, with different numbers.
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Personal Income and Outlays
Household income, spending, and the PCE price index. The Federal Reserve's 2 percent inflation target is defined on the PCE price index, not on CPI — which is why this release matters to policy even though CPI gets more attention.
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U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services
Exports and imports of goods and services, and the gap between them — the trade balance. Published jointly by BEA and the Census Bureau.
U.S. Census Bureau
https://www.census.gov · Public domain (a work of the U.S. federal government)
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Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services
Sales at retail and food-services businesses. Consumer spending is roughly two thirds of U.S. GDP, so this is the earliest monthly read on the largest part of the economy.
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Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders
New orders for goods built to last three years or more — aircraft, machinery, vehicles. New orders are a forward-looking read on business investment, because an order precedes the production it causes.
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New Residential Construction
Building permits issued, housing units started, and housing units completed. Housing is one of the most interest-rate-sensitive parts of the economy, so it turns early in a rate cycle.
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New Residential Sales
Sales of newly built single-family homes, and the months of supply left unsold at the current pace.
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Manufacturing and Trade: Inventories and Sales
Inventories held and sales made across manufacturing, wholesale and retail. The inventories-to-sales ratio shows whether stock is piling up faster than it is shifting.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
https://www.federalreserve.gov · Public domain (a work of the U.S. federal government)
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FOMC Meeting and Rate Decision
The Federal Open Market Committee sets the target range for the federal funds rate. The statement is released at the close of the second day; a press conference follows, and the minutes are published three weeks later. Four of the eight meetings a year also carry the Summary of Economic Projections.
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FOMC Minutes
The account of an FOMC meeting's discussion, released three weeks after the decision. It carries the range of views on the committee, which the statement itself compresses into a single paragraph.
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H.4.1 Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
The Federal Reserve's weekly balance sheet — the size and composition of its securities holdings, and the reserve balances the banking system holds against them.
U.S. Department of the Treasury
https://www.treasury.gov · Public domain (a work of the U.S. federal government)
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Treasury Securities Auction
The Treasury sells bills, notes, bonds and TIPS at public auction to fund the government. The yield awarded at auction is a direct, observable read on what buyers demand to hold U.S. government debt at that maturity, on that day.
U.S. Energy Information Administration
https://www.eia.gov · Public domain (a work of the U.S. federal government)
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Weekly Petroleum Status Report
How much crude oil, gasoline and distillate the United States holds in commercial storage, and how much its refineries ran, for the week ending the previous Friday. The change in crude inventories is the number the oil market trades on.
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Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
How much working natural gas sits in underground storage in the Lower 48 states, as of the previous Friday. The weekly injection or withdrawal is the single most-watched number in North American natural gas.
What we deliberately do not show
A commercial economic calendar carries several fields this one does not. None of them is an oversight, and each is one line of markup away. They are refused by name, with the reason, so that a developer who wonders why the consensus column is missing finds the answer rather than assumes a bug and “fixes” it.
| Field | Whose it is | Why we don’t publish it |
|---|---|---|
| Survey consensus / analyst estimates | Dow Jones, Bloomberg, Reuters, Econoday and similar survey compilers | The 'expected' column on every commercial economic calendar is a licensed product — a survey of economists, compiled and sold by a data vendor. It is not a government work and there is no public-domain source for it. We show no consensus, and we say so on every event page rather than leaving a blank column that reads as missing data. |
| Prediction-market odds (Kalshi, Polymarket) | Kalshi Inc.; Polymarket | Venue market data carries the venue's terms. We capture Kalshi/Polymarket snapshots internally for the FOMC brief's 'what markets expected' section, where they are attributed to the venue with a timestamp — but redistributing them as a live odds column on a public calendar is a different act with different licensing, and it has not been cleared. The internal snapshots stay internal. |
| Earnings calendar | Individual issuers; aggregated by commercial vendors | Corporate earnings dates are not federal data. Out of scope for a licensing-pristine public-domain calendar. |
| Non-US releases (RBA, ECB, BoE, …) | Foreign central banks and statistical agencies (varying terms) | Each foreign agency carries its own licence, which has not been reviewed. Out of scope for this piece. |