Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders

What it measures

New orders for goods built to last three years or more — aircraft, machinery, vehicles. New orders are a forward-looking read on business investment, because an order precedes the production it causes.

Times shown in America/New York · Schedule source: Census release schedule · Licence: public domain (a work of the U.S. federal government)

History

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A note on vintages Economic data is revised. This chart plots the series as it stands today — the current vintage — not the figure that was first published on each release day. A revised number can differ materially from the print the market actually saw, so this line is a record of what we now believe happened, not a record of what was known at the time.

Impact on the Treasury curve

Not rated. We publish an impact tier only where the clean sample is large enough to mean something. This indicator does not clear that floor, so it carries no tier — rather than a made-up one. Why some releases carry no tier.

Upcoming releases

Past releases

The dates the agency actually published on, newest first. These are release days, not the reference periods the figures describe.

No consensus, and why

No consensus shown — we don’t license survey estimates. The “expected” figure on a commercial calendar is a survey of economists sold by a data vendor. It is not a government work, there is no public-domain source for it, and we would rather say so than print an empty column. There are no prediction-market odds here either, for the same licensing reason.

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